目  录

连续调查的差值估计法                                张荷观

贸易增加值率背后是企业增加值率——针对中国加工贸易出口的讨论与测算分析                                 高敏雪 葛金梅

技术创新与非技术创新的协同发展：基于珠三角企业转型升级路径的实证研究                                          吴翊琳新闻事件主题与股票收益率波动的联动分析         薛薇 周元元

基于六西格玛原理的刹车材料生产流程改善——以X公司为例

蔡康健

二元金融体制金融资源配置的定量分析       张永升 谷彬 马九杰

北京市人口老龄化对养老保险支付负担的影响分析         王晓军

随机效应模型与多水平费率因子厘定                     孟生旺

农作物收入保险的费率厘定和风险测度            肖宇谷 王选鹤

作物产量保险与收入保险的定价及风险收益特征的比较—以安徽省阜阳市为例                                           邱子真

分位回归方法在线性异方差模型中的应用            熊巍 田茂再

基于车载监控数据的道路安全预警模型  吴春玲 钟琰 杨其乐 王星

基于Distance算法的引文分析研究               张景肖 王爱林

基于局部线性分位回归的纵向数据分析     刘甦倩 胡亚南 田茂再

CONTENTS

Difference Estimates in Continuous Surveys                   ZHANG Heguan

The Ratio of Value Added to Gross Output Backs up the Ratio of Value Added to Gross Exports: Experiences from China’s Processing Trade

GAO Minxue  GE Jinmei

The Cooperative Development of Technical Innovation and Non-technological Innovation —— Empirical Study on Transformation and Upgrade Route in Pearl River Delta                 WU Yilin

The linkage analysis of news events topics and stock yield fluctuation

XUE Wei  Zhou Yuanyuan

On Improvement of Production Process of Brake Material of X Company Based on Theory of Six Sigma                                         CAI Kangjian

Quantitative analysis of financial resource allocation based on dual financial system

ZHANG Yongsheng  GU Bin  MA Jiujie

Population ageing and financial burden of Social Pension System in Beijing

WANG Xiaojun

Random Effect Models and Ratemaking of Multi-Level Factors

MENG Shengwang

Study on the Revenue Distributions of Crop Revenue Insurance

XIAO Yugu  WANG Xuanhe

Comparing price and risk of crop yield insurance and crop revenue insurance

QIU Zizhen

Application of Quantile Regression Techniques in Linear Heteroscedastic Model

XIONG Wei  TIAN Maozai

Road safety detection model based on Vehicle monitoring data

WU Chun-ling  ZHONG Yan  YANG Qile  WANG Xing

Bringing Distance to the citation analysis          ZHANG Jingxiao WANG Ailin

Longitudinal Data Analysis Based On Local Linear Quantile Regression

LIU Suqian  HU Yanan  TIAN Maozai